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	<title>WIST Quotations</title>
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		<title>Doyle, Arthur Conan -- Story (1890-02), &#8220;The Sign of the Four,&#8221; ch.  1 [Holmes], Lippincott&#8217;s Monthly Magazine, Vol. 45 (US) / 1 (UK)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/doyle-arthur-conan/83444/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/doyle-arthur-conan/83444/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2026 21:25:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Doyle, Arthur Conan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deduction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[discipline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[guess]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[guesswork]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[logic]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[No, no: I never guess. It is a shocking habit, — destructive to the logical faculty. The original publication, and Doyle&#8217;s manuscript (along with many other iterations across media) use &#8220;The Sign of the Four&#8221; as the title, while others (including the first book publications) use &#8220;The Sign of Four.&#8221; The five-word form is used [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No, no: I never guess. It is a shocking habit, — destructive to the logical faculty.</p>
<br><b>Arthur Conan Doyle</b> (1859–1930) British writer and physician<br>Story (1890-02), &#8220;The Sign of the Four,&#8221; ch.  1 [Holmes], <i>Lippincott&#8217;s Monthly Magazine</i>, Vol. 45 (US) / 1 (UK) 
						<br><br><span class="cite">
						

The <a href="https://www.arthur-conan-doyle.com/wiki/Lippincott%27s_Monthly_Magazine">original publication</a>, and <a href="https://www.arthur-conan-doyle.com/wiki/The_Sign_of_Four#Manuscript">Doyle's manuscript</a> (along with many other iterations across media) use "The Sign of <i>the</i> Four" as the title, while others (including the first book publications) use "The Sign of Four."  The five-word form is used most commonly in the story, but the four-word form does show up. (<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sign_of_the_Four#cite_ref-redmond14_1-1:~:text=Different%20editions%20over,of%20the%20story.">More info</a>.)<br><br>

<a href="https://www.arthur-conan-doyle.com/wiki/The_Sign_of_Four#:~:text=%27No%2C%20no%3A%20I%20never%20guess.%20It%20is%20a%20shocking%20habit%20%2D%20destructive%20to%20the%20logical%20faculty.">Published in novel form</a> as <a href="https://www.arthur-conan-doyle.com/wiki/Spencer_Blackett"><i>The Sign of Four</i> (1890-10)</a>.						</span>
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		<title>McDevitt, Jack -- Odyssey, ch. 39 (2006)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/mcdevitt-jack/42632/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/mcdevitt-jack/42632/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Jul 2020 15:58:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[McDevitt, Jack]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conclusion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[decision]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[decision-making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[guesswork]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[information]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Decisions are always made with insufficient information. If you really knew what was going on, the decision would make itself.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Decisions are always made with insufficient information. If you really knew what was going on, the decision would make itself.</p>
<br><b>Jack McDevitt</b> (b. 1935) American author <br><i>Odyssey</i>, ch. 39 (2006) 
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		<title>Feynman, Richard -- The Character of Physical Law, ch. 3 &#8220;The Great Conservation Principles&#8221; (1965)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/feynman-richard/40004/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/feynman-richard/40004/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Jan 2020 21:54:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Feynman, Richard]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[certainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[guess]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[guesswork]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hypothesis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[uncertainty]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[So we have to make guesses in order to give any utility at all to science. In order to avoid simply describing experiments that have been done, we have to propose laws beyond their observed range. There is nothing wrong with that, despite the fact that it makes science uncertain. If you thought before that [&#8230;]]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) and put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So we have to make guesses in order to give any utility at all to science. In order to avoid simply describing experiments that have been done, we have to propose laws beyond their observed range. There is nothing wrong with that, despite the fact that it makes science uncertain. If you thought before that science was certain &#8212; well, that is just an error on your part.</p>
<br><b>Richard Feynman</b> (1918–1988) American physicist<br><i>The Character of Physical Law</i>, ch. 3 &#8220;The Great Conservation Principles&#8221; (1965) 
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		<title>Wagner, Jane -- The Search for Signs of Intelligent Life in the Universe, Part 1 (1985) [perf. Lily Tomlin]</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/wagner-jane/17667/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/wagner-jane/17667/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Apr 2012 20:56:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Wagner, Jane]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consensus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[guesswork]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reality]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[TROUT: After all, what is reality anyway? Nothin&#8217; but a collective hunch. Variant: &#8220;Reality is a collective hunch.&#8221;]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) and put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>TROUT: After all, what is reality anyway? Nothin&#8217; but a<br />
collective hunch.</p>
<br><b>Jane Wagner</b> (b. 1935) American humorist, writer, director<br><i>The Search for Signs of Intelligent Life in the Universe</i>, Part 1 (1985) [perf. Lily Tomlin] 
						<br><br><span class="cite">
						

Variant: "Reality is a collective hunch."						</span>
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		<title>Hand, Learned -- &#8220;On Receiving an Honorary Degree,&#8221; speech, Harvard University (1939-01-22)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/hand-learned/5253/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/hand-learned/5253/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Aug 2007 16:18:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Hand, Learned]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[doubt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[guesswork]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[judgment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[life]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[uncertainty]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Life is made up of a series of judgments on insufficient data, and if we waited to run down all our doubts, it would flow past us. First printed in the Harvard Alumni Bulletin (7 Jul 1939)]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) and put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Life is made up of a series of judgments on insufficient data, and if we waited to run down all our doubts, it would flow past us.</p>
<br><b>Learned Hand</b> (1872–1961) American jurist<br>&#8220;On Receiving an Honorary Degree,&#8221; speech, Harvard University (1939-01-22) 
						<br><br><span class="cite">
						

First printed in the <i>Harvard Alumni Bulletin</i> (7 Jul 1939)						</span>
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