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		<title>Bacon, Francis -- Instauratio Magna [The Great Instauration], Part 2 &#8220;Novum Organum [The New Organon],&#8221; Book 1, Aphorism #  46 (1620) [tr. Johnson (1859)]</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/bacon-francis/67517/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Feb 2024 17:19:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bacon, Francis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[confirmation bias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[delusion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[perception]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pseudoscience]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[superstition]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The same holds true of almost every superstition &#8212; as astrology, dreams, omens, judgments, and the like &#8212; wherein men, pleased with such vanities, attend to those events which are fulfilments; but neglect and pass over the instances where they fail (though this is much more frequently the case). [Eadem ratio est fere omnis superstitionis, [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The same holds true of almost every superstition &#8212; as astrology, dreams, omens, judgments, and the like &#8212; wherein men, pleased with such vanities, attend to those events which are fulfilments; but neglect and pass over the instances where they fail (though this is much more frequently the case).</p>
<p><em>[Eadem ratio est fere omnis superstitionis, ut in astrologicis, in somniis, ominibus, nemesibus, et hujusmodi; in quibus homines delectati hujusmodi vanitatibus advertunt eventus, ubi emplentur; ast ubi fallunt, licet multo frequentius, tamen negligunt et praetereunt.]</em></p>
<br><b>Francis Bacon</b> (1561–1626) English philosopher, scientist, author, statesman<br><i>Instauratio Magna [The Great Instauration]</i>, Part 2 <i>&#8220;Novum Organum</i> [The New Organon],&#8221; Book 1, Aphorism #  46 (1620) [tr. Johnson (1859)] 
						<br><br><span class="cite">
						

See also <a href="https://wist.info/bacon-francis/1265/">Bacon</a>.<br><br>

(<a href="https://la.wikisource.org/wiki/Novum_Organum/Liber_Primus#:~:text=Eadem%20ratio%20est%20fere%20omnis%20superstitionis%2C%20ut%20in%20astrologicis%2C%20in%20somniis%2C%20ominibus%2C%20nemesibus%2C%20et%20hujusmodi%3B%20in%20quibus%20homines%20delectati%20hujusmodi%20vanitatibus%20advertunt%20eventus%2C%20ubi%20emplentur%3B%20ast%20ubi%20fallunt%2C%20licet%20multo%20frequentius%2C%20tamen%20negligunt%20et%20praetereunt.">Source (Latin)</a>). Other translations:<br><br>

<blockquote>All superstition is much the same, whether it be that of astrology, dreams, omens, retributive judgment, or the like; in all of which the deluded believers observe events which are fulfilled, but neglect and pass over their failure, though it be much more common. <br>
[tr. <a href="https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Novum_Organum/Book_I_(Wood)#:~:text=All%20superstition%20is%20much%20the%20same%2C%20whether%20it%20be%20that%20of%20astrology%2C%20dreams%2C%20omens%2C%20retributive%20judgment%2C%20or%20the%20like%3B%20in%20all%20of%20which%20the%20deluded%20believers%20observe%20events%20which%20are%20fulfilled%2C%20but%20neglect%20and%20pass%20over%20their%20failure%2C%20though%20it%20be%20much%20more%20common.">Wood</a> (1831)]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>And such is the way of all superstition, whether in astrology, dreams, omens, divine judgments, or the like; wherein men, having a delight in such vanities, mark the events where they are fulfilled, but where they fail, though this happen much oftener, neglect and pass them by. <br>
[tr. <a href="https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Novum_Organum/Book_I_(Spedding)#:~:text=And%20such%20is%20the%20way%20of%20all%20superstition%2C%20whether%20in%20astrology%2C%20dreams%2C%20omens%2C%20divine%20judgments%2C%20or%20the%20like%3B%20wherein%20men%2C%20having%20a%20delight%20in%20such%20vanities%2C%20mark%20the%20events%20where%20they%20are%20fulfilled%2C%20but%20where%20they%20fail%2C%20though%20this%20happen%20much%20oftener%2C%20neglect%20and%20pass%20them%20by.">Spedding</a> (1858)]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>The same method is found, perhaps, in every superstition, like astrology, dreams, omens, divine judgements, and so on: people who take pleasure in such vanities notice the results when they are fulfilled, but ignore and overlook them when they fail, though they do fail more often than not.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/_/MUm8Yzmq5NUC?hl=en&gbpv=1&bsq=%22the%20same%20method%20is%20found%20perhaps%22">Silverthorne</a> (2000)]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>That’s how it is with all superstition -- involving astrology, dreams, omens, divine judgments, and the like, Men get so much pleasure out of such vanities that they notice the confirming events and inattentively pass by the more numerous disconfirming ones.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.earlymoderntexts.com/assets/pdfs/bacon1620.pdf">Bennett</a> (2017)]</blockquote><br>
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		<title>Paulos, John Allen -- Innumeracy, ch. 3 &#8220;Pseudoscience&#8221; (1988)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/paulos-john-allen/65260/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/paulos-john-allen/65260/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Dec 2023 15:39:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Paulos, John Allen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[astrology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[computers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GIGO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nonsense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pseudoscience]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Any bit of nonsense can be computerized &#8212; astrology, biorhythms, the I Ching &#8212; but that doesn&#8217;t make the nonsense any more valid.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Any bit of nonsense can be computerized &#8212; astrology, biorhythms, the <i>I Ching</i> &#8212; but that doesn&#8217;t make the nonsense any more valid.</p>
<br><b>John Allen Paulos</b> (b. 1945) American mathematician, academic, writer<br><i>Innumeracy</i>, ch. 3 &#8220;Pseudoscience&#8221; (1988) 
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		<title>Fry, Stephen -- Room 101,  6&#215;10, BBC Two (2001-03-12)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/fry-stephen/61833/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/fry-stephen/61833/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Jul 2023 23:29:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fry, Stephen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ignorance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[knowledge]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[You will hear things like, &#8220;Science doesn&#8217;t know everything.&#8221; Well, of course science doesn&#8217;t know everything. But because science doesn&#8217;t know everything, that doesn&#8217;t mean science knows nothing. Science knows enough for us to be watched by a few million people now on television, for these lights to be working, for quite extraordinary miracles to [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You will hear things like, &#8220;Science doesn&#8217;t know everything.&#8221; Well, of course science doesn&#8217;t know everything. But because science doesn&#8217;t know everything, that doesn&#8217;t mean science knows nothing. Science knows enough for us to be watched by a few million people now on television, for these lights to be working, for quite extraordinary miracles to have taken place in terms of the harnessing of the physical world and our dim approaches towards understanding it.</p>
<br><b>Stephen Fry</b> (b. 1957)  British actor, writer, comedian<br><i>Room 101</i>,  6&#215;10, BBC Two (2001-03-12) 
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		<title>Asimov, Isaac -- Asimov&#8217;s Guide to Science (1972)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/asimov-isaac/33423/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Apr 2016 21:36:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Asimov, Isaac]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[astrology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[certainty]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Inspect every piece of pseudoscience and you will find a security blanket, a thumb to suck, a skirt to hold. What does the scientist have to offer in exchange? Uncertainty! Insecurity!]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Inspect every piece of pseudoscience and you will find a security blanket, a thumb to suck, a skirt to hold. What does the scientist have to offer in exchange? Uncertainty! Insecurity!</p>
<br><b>Isaac Asimov</b> (1920–1992) Russian-American author, polymath, biochemist<br><i>Asimov&#8217;s Guide to Science</i> (1972) 
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		<title>Feynman, Richard -- The Meaning of It All (1998)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/feynman-richard/57/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/feynman-richard/57/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Feb 2004 16:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Feynman, Richard]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aliens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credulity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[flying saucer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hypothesis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[likelihood]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[I have argued flying saucers with lots of people. &#8230; I was interested in this: they keep arguing that it is possible. And that&#8217;s true. It is possible. They do not appreciate that the problem is not to demonstrate whether it&#8217;s possible or not, but whether it&#8217;s going on or not. Whether it&#8217;s probably occurring [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have argued flying saucers with lots of people. &#8230; I was interested in this: they keep arguing that it is possible.  And that&#8217;s true.  It is possible.  They do not appreciate that the problem is not to demonstrate whether it&#8217;s possible or not, but whether it&#8217;s going on or not. Whether it&#8217;s probably occurring or not, not whether it could occur.</p>
<br><b>Richard Feynman</b> (1918–1988) American physicist<br><i>The Meaning of It All</i> (1998) 
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