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	<title>WIST Quotations</title>
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Taleb, Nassim Nicholas -- The Black Swan, Part 2, ch. 10 &#8220;The Scandal of Prediction&#8221; (2007)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/taleb-nassim-nicholas/76848/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/taleb-nassim-nicholas/76848/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jun 2025 15:16:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Taleb, Nassim Nicholas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[assumptions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[average]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[danger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[expectations]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[variability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[variance]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Don&#8217;t cross a river if it is four feet deep on average.]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) then (Source) and then put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Don&#8217;t cross a river if it is four feet deep on average.</p>
<br><b>Nassim Nicholas Taleb</b> (b. 1960) Lebanese-American essayist, statistician, risk analyst, aphorist<br><i>The Black Swan</i>, Part 2, ch. 10 &#8220;The Scandal of Prediction&#8221; (2007) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/10.1.1.695.4305/page/160/mode/2up?q=%22cross+a+river%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Taleb, Nassim Nicholas -- Fooled by Randomness, Part 1, ch. 1 (2001)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/taleb-nassim-nicholas/75320/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/taleb-nassim-nicholas/75320/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Mar 2025 17:55:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Taleb, Nassim Nicholas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[average]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[good luck]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[variance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://wist.info/?p=75320</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Mild success can be explainable by skills and labor. Wild success is attributable to variance.]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) then (Source) and then put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mild success can be explainable by skills and labor. Wild success is attributable to variance.</p>
<br><b>Nassim Nicholas Taleb</b> (b. 1960) Lebanese-American essayist, statistician, risk analyst, aphorist<br><i>Fooled by Randomness</i>, Part 1, ch. 1 (2001) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/fooledbyrandomne00tale/page/12/mode/2up?q=%22Mild+success+can%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
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