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	<title>WIST Quotations</title>
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		<title>Butler, Octavia -- Essay (2000-05), &#8220;A Few Rules for Predicting the Future,&#8221; Essence Magazine</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/butler-octavia/84552/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/butler-octavia/84552/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2026 17:39:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Butler, Octavia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fallacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[superstition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wishful thinking]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://wist.info/?p=84552</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Wishful thinking is no more help in predicting the future than fear, superstition or depression.]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) then (Source) and then put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wishful thinking is no more help in predicting the future than fear, superstition or depression.</p>
<br><b>Octavia Butler</b> (1947–2006) American writer<br>Essay (2000-05), &#8220;A Few Rules for Predicting the Future,&#8221; <i>Essence</i> Magazine 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://commongood.cc/reader/a-few-rules-for-predicting-the-future-by-octavia-e-butler/#:~:text=Wishful%20thinking%20is%20no%20more%20help%20in%20predicting%20the%20future%20than%20fear%2C%20superstition%20or%20depression." target="_blank">Source</a>)
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		<title>Thurber, James -- Letter (1961-07-05) to Marianna Brown</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/thurber-james/82800/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/thurber-james/82800/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Mar 2026 15:40:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Thurber, James]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[looking ahead]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[looking back]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[past]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[present]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prognostication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[today]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tomorrow]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[yesterday]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://wist.info/?p=82800</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The past is an old armchair in the attic, the present an ominous ticking sound, and the future is anybody&#8217;s guess.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The past is an old armchair in the attic, the present an ominous ticking sound, and the future is anybody&#8217;s guess.</p>
<br><b>James Thurber</b> (1894–1961) American humorist, cartoonist, writer<br>Letter (1961-07-05) to Marianna Brown 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/selectedletterso0000thur_o0d3/page/210/mode/2up?q=%22present+an+ominous+ticking%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
				]]></content:encoded>
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Mackay, Charles -- Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, &#8220;Fortune-Telling&#8221; (1841)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/mackay-charles/79638/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/mackay-charles/79638/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2025 16:03:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mackay, Charles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ambiguity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oracle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prognostication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prophecy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vagueness]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://wist.info/?p=79638</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The prophecies of Nostradamus consist of upwards of a thousand stanzas, each of four lines, and are to the full as obscure as the oracles of old. They take so great a latitude, both as to time and space, that they are almost sure to be fulfilled somewhere or other in the course of a [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The prophecies of Nostradamus consist of upwards of a thousand stanzas, each of four lines, and are to the full as obscure as the oracles of old. They take so great a latitude, both as to time and space, that they are almost sure to be fulfilled somewhere or other in the course of a few centuries.</p>
<br><b>Charles Mackay</b> (1814–1889) Scottish poet, journalist, song writer<br><i>Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds</i>, &#8220;Fortune-Telling&#8221; (1841) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.gutenberg.org/cache/epub/24518/pg24518-images.html#:~:text=The%20prophecies%20of%20Nostradamus%20consist%20of%20upwards%20of%20a%20thousand%20stanzas%2C%20each%20of%20four%20lines%2C%20and%20are%20to%20the%20full%20as%20obscure%20as%20the%20oracles%20of%20old.%20They%20take%20so%20great%20a%20latitude%2C%20both%20as%20to%20time%20and%20space%2C%20that%20they%20are%20almost%20sure%20to%20be%20fulfilled%20somewhere%20or%20other%20in%20the%20course%20of%20a%20few%20centuries." target="_blank">Source</a>)
				]]></content:encoded>
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Mackay, Charles -- Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, &#8220;Modern Prophecies&#8221; (1841)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/mackay-charles/79500/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/mackay-charles/79500/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Oct 2025 14:41:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mackay, Charles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[belief]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[believer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chaos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credulity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[danger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[disaster]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[end of the world]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prophecy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[true believer]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://wist.info/?p=79500</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[During seasons of great pestilence, men have often believed the prophecies of crazed fanatics, that the end of the world was come. Credulity is always greatest in times of calamity.]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) then (Source) and then put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>During seasons of great pestilence, men have often believed the prophecies of crazed fanatics, that the end of the world was come. Credulity is always greatest in times of calamity. </p>
<br><b>Charles Mackay</b> (1814–1889) Scottish poet, journalist, song writer<br><i>Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds</i>, &#8220;Modern Prophecies&#8221; (1841) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.gutenberg.org/cache/epub/24518/pg24518-images.html#:~:text=During%20seasons%20of%20great%20pestilence%2C%20men%20have%20often%20believed%20the%20prophecies%20of%20crazed%20fanatics%2C%20that%20the%20end%20of%20the%20world%20was%20come.%20Credulity%20is%20always%20greatest%20in%20times%20of%20calamity." target="_blank">Source</a>)
				]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Taleb, Nassim Nicholas -- The Black Swan, Part 2, ch. 13 &#8220;Appelles the Painter, or What Do You Do If You Cannot Predict&#8221; (2007)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/taleb-nassim-nicholas/77501/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/taleb-nassim-nicholas/77501/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Jul 2025 16:45:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Taleb, Nassim Nicholas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[belief]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conclusion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[danger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[harm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[plausibility]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[potential]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://wist.info/?p=77501</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Know how to rank beliefs not according to their plausibility but by the harm they may cause.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Know how to rank beliefs not according to their plausibility but by the harm they may cause.</p>
<br><b>Nassim Nicholas Taleb</b> (b. 1960) Lebanese-American essayist, statistician, risk analyst, aphorist<br><i>The Black Swan</i>, Part 2, ch. 13 &#8220;Appelles the Painter, or What Do You Do If You Cannot Predict&#8221; (2007) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/10.1.1.695.4305/page/202/mode/2up?q=%22rank+beliefs%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
				]]></content:encoded>
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Taleb, Nassim Nicholas -- The Black Swan, Part 2, ch. 10 &#8220;The Scandal of Prediction&#8221; (2007)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/taleb-nassim-nicholas/76850/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/taleb-nassim-nicholas/76850/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Jun 2025 15:23:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Taleb, Nassim Nicholas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[anxiety]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[certainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[expectations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nerves]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://wist.info/?p=76850</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) then (Source) and then put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.</p>
<br><b>Nassim Nicholas Taleb</b> (b. 1960) Lebanese-American essayist, statistician, risk analyst, aphorist<br><i>The Black Swan</i>, Part 2, ch. 10 &#8220;The Scandal of Prediction&#8221; (2007) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/10.1.1.695.4305/page/162/mode/2up?q=%22forecasting+by+bureaucrats%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
				]]></content:encoded>
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Taleb, Nassim Nicholas -- The Black Swan, Part 2, ch. 10 &#8220;The Scandal of Prediction&#8221; (2007)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/taleb-nassim-nicholas/76754/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/taleb-nassim-nicholas/76754/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 May 2025 18:42:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Taleb, Nassim Nicholas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cumulative error]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[error]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[events]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[outlandishness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[outliers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[surprise]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Cumulative errors depend largely on the big surprises, the big opportunities. Not only do economic, financial, and political predictors miss them, but they are quite ashamed to say anything outlandish to their clients — and yet events, it turns out, are almost always outlandish.]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) then (Source) and then put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Cumulative errors depend largely on the big surprises, the big opportunities. Not only do economic, financial, and political predictors miss them, but they are quite ashamed to say anything outlandish to their clients — and yet <i>events, it turns out, are almost always outlandish.</i></p>
<br><b>Nassim Nicholas Taleb</b> (b. 1960) Lebanese-American essayist, statistician, risk analyst, aphorist<br><i>The Black Swan</i>, Part 2, ch. 10 &#8220;The Scandal of Prediction&#8221; (2007) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/10.1.1.695.4305/page/148/mode/2up?q=%22cumulative+errors%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
				]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Tepper, Sheri -- Six Moon Dance, ch. 55 (1998)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/tepper-sheri/73233/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/tepper-sheri/73233/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Dec 2024 17:08:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Tepper, Sheri]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[challenge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[creativity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[imagination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[survival]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wits]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://wist.info/?p=73233</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Conflict acting on intelligence creates imagination. Faced with conflict, creatures are forced to imagine what will happen, where the next threat will come from. If there has never been conflict, imagination never develops. Wits arise in answer to danger, to pain, to tragedy. No one ever got smarter eating easy apples.]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) then (Source) and then put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Conflict acting on intelligence creates imagination. Faced with conflict, creatures are forced to imagine what will happen, where the next threat will come from. If there has never been conflict, imagination never develops. Wits arise in answer to danger, to pain, to tragedy. No one ever got smarter eating easy apples.</p>
<br><b>Sheri Tepper</b> (1929–2016) American writer<br><i>Six Moon Dance</i>, ch. 55 (1998) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/isbn_9780380791989_0/page/438/mode/2up?q=%22conflict+acting%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
				]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Shakespeare, William -- Macbeth, Act 4, sc. 1, l.  44ff (4.1.44-45) (1606)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/shakespeare-william/73038/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/shakespeare-william/73038/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Nov 2024 15:15:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Shakespeare, William]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[evil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foretelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[harbinger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[omen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[portent]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[warning]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://wist.info/?p=73038</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[SECOND WITCH: By the pricking of my thumbs, Something wicked this way comes. Often misquoted as &#8220;prickling.&#8221;]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="hangingindent">SECOND WITCH: By the pricking of my thumbs,<br />
Something wicked this way comes.</p>
<p></p>
<br><b>William Shakespeare</b> (1564–1616) English dramatist and poet<br><i>Macbeth</i>, Act 4, sc. 1, l.  44ff (4.1.44-45) (1606) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.folger.edu/explore/shakespeares-works/macbeth/read/#:~:text=By%C2%A0the%C2%A0pricking,this%C2%A0way%C2%A0comes." target="_blank">Source</a>)
										<br><br><span class="cite">
						

Often misquoted as "prickling."						</span>
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Billings, Josh -- Everybody&#8217;s Friend, Or; Josh Billing&#8217;s Encyclopedia and Proverbial Philosophy of Wit and Humor, ch. 150 &#8220;Affurisms: Parboils&#8221; (1874)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/billings-josh/72872/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/billings-josh/72872/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Nov 2024 23:37:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Billings, Josh]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prophecy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[speculation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://wist.info/?p=72872</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Take awl the prophecys that hav cum tew pass, and awl that hav caught on the center, and failed tew cum tew time, and make them up into an average, and yer will find, that buying stock, on the Codfish Bank ov Nufoundland, at 50 per cent, for a rise, iz, in comparison, a good [&#8230;]]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) then (Source) and then put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Take awl the prophecys that hav cum tew pass, and awl that hav caught on the center, and failed tew cum tew time, and make them up into an average, and yer will find, that buying stock, on the Codfish Bank ov Nufoundland, at 50 per cent, for a rise, iz, in comparison, a good spekulatiff bizziness.<br />
&nbsp;<br />
[Take all the prophecies that have come to pass, and all that have caught on the center and failed to come to time, and make them up into an average, and you will find that buying stock on the codfish Bank of Newfoundland, at 50 percent, for a rise, is, in comparison, a good speculative business.]</p>
<br><b>Josh Billings</b> (1818–1885) American humorist, aphorist [pseud. of Henry Wheeler Shaw]<br><i>Everybody&#8217;s Friend, Or; Josh Billing&#8217;s Encyclopedia and Proverbial Philosophy of Wit and Humor</i>, ch. 150 &#8220;Affurisms: Parboils&#8221; (1874) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/Everybody_s_Friend_Or_Josh_Billing_s_Enc/7rA8AAAAYAAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1" target="_blank">Source</a>)
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		<title>Franklin, Benjamin -- Poor Richard  (1737 ed.)</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 31 Oct 2024 20:28:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Franklin, Benjamin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blame]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[forecast]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[As to the Weather, if I were to fall into the Method my Brother J****n sometimes uses, and tell you, Snow here or in New England, &#8212; Rain here or in South-Carolina, &#8212; Cold to the Northward, &#8212; Warm to the Southward, and the like, whatever Errors I might commit, I should be something more [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As to the Weather, if I were to fall into the Method my Brother J****n sometimes uses, and tell you, <i>Snow here or in New England, &#8212; Rain here or in South-Carolina, &#8212; Cold to the Northward, &#8212; Warm to the Southward,</i> and the like, whatever Errors I might commit, I should be something more secure of not being detected in them: But I consider, it will be of no Service to any body to know what Weather it is 1000 miles off, and therefore I always set down positively what Weather my Reader will have, be he where he will at the time. We modestly desire only the favourable Allowance of <i>a day or two before</i> and <i>a day or two after</i> the precise Day against which the Weather is set; and if it does not come to pass accordingly, let the Fault be laid upon the Printer, who, ’tis very like, may have transpos’d or misplac’d it, perhaps for the Conveniency of putting in his Holidays: And since, in spight of all I can say, People will give him great part of the Credit of making my Almanacks, ’tis but reasonable he should take some share of the Blame.</p>
<br><b>Benjamin Franklin</b> (1706–1790) American statesman, scientist, philosopher, aphorist<br><i>Poor Richard </i> (1737 ed.) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Franklin/01-02-02-0028#:~:text=As%20to%20the,of%20the%20Blame." target="_blank">Source</a>)
										<br><br><span class="cite">
						

"Brother J****n" is John Jerman, whose almanac Franklin had printed for several years, but who in 1737 moved to a different printer.
Weather, forecast, prediction, blame
						</span>
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		<title>Dante Alighieri -- The Divine Comedy [Divina Commedia], Book 3 &#8220;Paradiso,&#8221; Canto 13, l. 130ff (13.130-138) [Thomas Aquinas] (1320) [tr. Ciardi (1970)]</title>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Aug 2024 14:25:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Dante Alighieri]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Men should not be too smug in their own reason; only a foolish man will walk his field and count his ears too early in the season; for I have seen a briar through winter&#8217;s snows rattle its tough and menacing bare stems, and then, in season, open its pale rose. and I have seen [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Men should not be too smug in their own reason;<br />
<span class="tab">only a foolish man will walk his field<br />
<span class="tab">and count his ears too early in the season;<br />
for I have seen a briar through winter&#8217;s snows<br />
<span class="tab">rattle its tough and menacing bare stems,<br />
<span class="tab">and then, in season, open its pale rose.<br />
and I have seen a ship cross all the main,<br />
<span class="tab">true to its course and swift, and then go down<br />
<span class="tab">just as it entered its home port again.</p>
<p><em>[Non sien le genti, ancor, troppo sicure<br />
<span class="tab">a giudicar, sì come quei che stima<br />
<span class="tab">le biade in campo pria che sien mature;<br />
ch’i’ ho veduto tutto ’l verno prima<br />
<span class="tab">lo prun mostrarsi rigido e feroce,<br />
<span class="tab">poscia portar la rosa in su la cima;<br />
e legno vidi già dritto e veloce<br />
<span class="tab">correr lo mar per tutto suo cammino,<br />
<span class="tab">perire al fine a l’intrar de la foce.]</span></span></span></span></span></span></em></span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<br><b>Dante Alighieri</b> (1265–1321) Italian poet<br><i>The Divine Comedy [Divina Commedia]</i>, Book 3 <i>&#8220;Paradiso,&#8221;</i> Canto 13, l. 130ff (13.130-138) [Thomas Aquinas] (1320) [tr. Ciardi (1970)] 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/paradisoverseren00dant/page/n155/mode/2up?view=theater&q=%22men+should+not+be%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
										<br><br><span class="cite">
						

(<a href="https://it.wikisource.org/wiki/Divina_Commedia/Paradiso/Canto_XIII#:~:text=Non%20sien%20le,de%20la%20foce.">Source (Italian)</a>). Other translations:<br><br>

<blockquote>Let none presume to fix <i>his</i> final state,<br>
Or on such awful question hold debate;<br>
<span class="tab">Oft have I seen the vernal stem beguile<br>
The reaper's hand: and oft the rigid thorn,<br>
That to the blast of winter waves forlorn,<br>
<span class="tab">In June with rosy wreath is seen to smile.<br>
Oft-times the bark that feuds with prosp'rous gale <br>
Thro' the dividing waves with flowing sail.<br>
<span class="tab">Yet sinks in view of port, the pious man <br>
May fail.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/divinacommediaof03dantuoft/page/164/mode/2up?q=%22Let+none+prefume%22">Boyd</a> (1802), st. 23-24]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Let not the people be too swift to judge,<br>
As one who reckons on the blades in field,<br>
Or ere the crop be ripe. For I have seen<br>
The thorn frown rudely all the winter long<br>
And after bear the rose upon its top;<br>
And bark, that all the way across the sea<br>
Ran straight and speedy, perish at the last,<br>
E’en in the haven’s mouth.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.gutenberg.org/files/8799/8799-h/8799-h.htm#cantoIII.13:~:text=Let%20not%20the,the%20haven%E2%80%99s%20mouth">Cary</a> (1814)]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Let not the people be too swift to judge,<br>
<span class="tab">Like one who looks upon the springing blade,<br>
<span class="tab">As if the harvest were already made.<br>
For I have seen, the whole of winter long,<br>
<span class="tab">The thorn look rude and rough, and bare at top,<br>
<span class="tab">And after show the rose's reddening cup;<br>
And seen the bark, already swift direct<br>
<span class="tab">Across the sea, in all its journey's way,<br>
<span class="tab">Perish at last when entering in the bay.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/comedyofdanteal00dant/page/384/mode/2up?q=%22let+not+the+people%22">Bannerman</a> (1850)]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Nor yet shall people be too confident<br>
<span class="tab">In judging, even as he is who doth count<br>
<span class="tab">The corn in field or ever it be ripe.<br>
For I have seen all winter long the thorn<br>
<span class="tab">First show itself intractable and fierce,<br>
<span class="tab">And after bear the rose upon its top;<br>
And I have seen a ship direct and swift<br>
<span class="tab">Run o'er the sea throughout its course entire,<br>
<span class="tab">To perish at the harbour's mouth at last.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Divine_Comedy_(Longfellow_1867)/Volume_3/Canto_13#:~:text=Nor%20yet%20shall,mouth%20at%20last.">Longfellow</a> (1867)] </blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Let not the folk be yet too secure at judging, like him who values the corn in a field before it is ripe; for I have seen all winter long the plum-tree at first show itself rigid and stern, and afterward bear blossoms on its top ; and I saw on a time a craft trim and swift to sail the sea for its whole course, perish at the last in the entering of the sound.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/paradisedanteal00aliggoog/page/n200/mode/2up?q=%22Let+not+the+folk+be+yet%22">Butler</a> (1885)] </blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Let not the people think themselves elected<br>
<span class="tab">To judge like one who counteth on the corn<br>
<span class="tab">Within his field ere it be ripe. <br>
Dejected I have beheld through winter time a thorn<br>
<span class="tab">Its rude repelling aspect show, and bear<br>
<span class="tab">After a rose, upon its top forlorn.<br>
And I have seen a vessel swiftly steer<br>
<span class="tab">Through all its voyage across the ocean stream.<br>
<span class="tab">Perish at last, the harbour's entrance near.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/divinecomedyofda00dantrich/page/312/mode/2up?q=%22Let+not+the+people%22">Minchin</a> (1885)]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Let not the people still be too secure in judgment, like him who reckons up the blades in the field ere they are ripe. For I have seen the briar first show itself stiff and wild all winter long, then bear the rose upon its top. And I have seen a bark ere now ran straight and swift across the sea through all its course, to perish at last at entrance of the harbor.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.gutenberg.org/files/1997/1997-h/1997-h.htm#cantoIII.XIII:~:text=Let%20not%20the,of%20the%20harbor.">Norton</a> (1892)] </blockquote><br>

<blockquote><span class="tab">Let not folk yet be too secure in judgment, as who should count the ears upon the field ere they be ripe;<br>
<span class="tab">for I have seen first all the winter through the thorn display itself hard and forbidding and then upon its summit bear the rose;<br>
<span class="tab">and I have seen ere now a ship fare straight and swift over the sea through her entire course, and perish at the last, entering the harbour mouth.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/paradisoofdante00dant/page/164/mode/2up?q=%22Let+not+folk+yet%22">Wicksteed</a> (1899)] </blockquote><br>

<blockquote>So also let not the people be too sure in judging, like those that reckon the corn in the field before it is ripe. For I have seen the briar first show harsh and rigid all through the winter and later bear the rose upon its top, and once I saw a ship that ran straight and swift over the sea through all its course perish at the last entering the harbour. <br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/divinecomedyofda0000dant/page/194/mode/2up?q=%22so+also+let+not%22">Sinclair</a> (1939)]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Let not the people be too self-assured <br>
<span class="tab">In judging early, as who should count the rows <br>
<span class="tab">Of green blades in the field ere they matured. <br>
For I have seen how first the wild-brier shows <br>
<span class="tab">Her sprays, all winter through, thorny and stark, <br>
<span class="tab">And then upon the topmost bears the rose; <br>
And I have seen ere now a speeding barque <br>
<span class="tab">Run all her sea-course with unswerving stem <br>
<span class="tab">And close on harbour go down to the dark. <br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/dantesparadisowi0000laur/page/154/mode/2up?q=%22let+not+the+people+be%22">Binyon</a> (1943)] </blockquote><br>

<blockquote>No one should ever be too self-assured<br>
<span class="tab">In judgement, like a farmer reckoning<br>
<span class="tab">His gains before the corn-crop is matured,<br>
For I have seen the briar, a prickly thing<br>
<span class="tab">And tough the winter through, and on its tip<br>
<span class="tab">Bearing the very rose at close of spring;<br>
And once I saw, her whole long ocean trip<br>
<span class="tab">Safe-done, a vessel wrecked upon the bar,<br>
<span class="tab">And down she went, that swift and stately ship.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/comedyofdanteali0000dant/page/172/mode/2up?q=%22no+one+should+ever+be%22">Sayers/Reynolds</a> (1962)]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Moreover, let not folk be too secure in judgment, like one who should count the ears in the field before they are ripe; for I have seen first, all winter through, the thorn display itself hard and stiff, and then upon its summit bear the rose. And I have seen ere now a ship fare straight and swift over the sea through all her course, and perish at the last as she entered the harbor.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/The_Divine_Comedy_III_Paradiso_Vol_III_P/4Q48EAAAQBAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&bsq=%22moreover%20let%20folk%20not%22">Singleton</a> (1975)] </blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Let people not be too sure of themselves <br>
<span class="tab">And their judgement, like someone who reckons <br>
<span class="tab">The field of corn before the ears are ripe:<br>
For I have seen all the winter through<br>
<span class="tab">The thorn first show itself unyielding, wild, <br>
<span class="tab">And after all carry a rose on top;<br>
And I have seen a ship sail straight and swiftly<br>
<span class="tab">Over the sea for the whole of its voyage<br>
<span class="tab">Yet perish at last at the harbour mouth.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/divinecomedy0000dant/page/408/mode/2up?q=%22let+people+not+be+too+sure%22">Sisson</a> (1981)] </blockquote><br>

<blockquote>So too, let men not be too confident<br>
<span class="tab">in judging -- witness those who, in the field,<br>
<span class="tab">would count the ears before the corn is ripe;<br>
for I have seen, all winter through, the brier<br>
<span class="tab">display itself a stiff and obstinate,<br>
<span class="tab">and later, on its summit, bear the rose;<br>
and once I saw a ship sail straight and swift<br>
<span class="tab">through all its voyaging across the sea,<br>
<span class="tab">then perish at the end, at harbor entry.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/paradiso0000dant_k1w9/page/116/mode/2up?q=%22so+too+let+men%22">Mandelbaum</a> (1984)]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Nor should one be too quick to trust his judgment;<br>
<span class="tab">be not like him who walks his field and counts<br>
<span class="tab">the ears of corn before the time is ripe,<br>
for I have seen brier all winter long<br>
<span class="tab">showing its rough and prickly stem, and then<br>
<span class="tab">eventually produce a lovely rose,<br>
and I have seen a ship sail straight and swift<br>
<span class="tab">over the sea through all its course, and then<br>
<span class="tab">about to enter in the harbor, sink.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/dantesparadise0000dant/page/162/mode/2up?q=%22nor+should+one+be+too+quick%22">Musa</a> (1984)] </blockquote><br>

<blockquote><span class="tab">And let not people be too sure to judge, like one who appraises the oats in the field before they are ripe:<br>
<span class="tab">for I have seen all the previous winter long the thornbush appear rigid and and fierce, but later bear the rose upon its tip,<br>
<span class="tab">and I have seen a ship run straight and swift across the sea for all in its course, only to perish at last when entering the port.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/divinecomedyofda0000dant_e4e9/page/272/mode/2up?q=%22and+let+not+people%22">Durling</a> (2011)] </blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Do not let people be too secure in their judgements, like those who count the ears of corn in the field before the crop ripens, since I have seen, all winter long, the thorn display itself, sharp and forbidding, and then on its summit bear the rose; and before now I have seen a ship run straight and sure over the sea for her entire course, and sink in the end, entering the harbour mouth.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.poetryintranslation.com/PITBR/Italian/DantPar8to14.php#:~:text=Do%20not%20let,the%20harbour%20mouth.">Kline</a> (2002)] </blockquote><br>

<blockquote>And then again, don't let folk be too sure<br>
<span class="tab">in passing judgement as do those who price<br>
<span class="tab">   the harvest in the field before it's ripe.<br>
For I have seen, at first, all winter through<br>
<span class="tab">a thorn bush shows itself as stark and fierce,<br>
<span class="tab">which after bears a rose upon its height.<br>
And I have seen a keel, steered swift and well,<br>
<span class="tab">speed over oceans all its voyage through, <br>
<span class="tab">then perish at the entrance to the dock.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/divinecomedy3par0000dant/page/126/mode/2up?q=%22and+then+again+don%27t%22">Kirkpatrick</a> (2007)]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Let the people, then, not be too certain<br>
<span class="tab">in their judgments, like those that harvest in their minds<br>
<span class="tab">corn still in the field before it ripens.<br>
For I have seen the briar first look dry and thorny<br>
<span class="tab">right through all the winter's cold,<br>
<span class="tab">then later wear the bloom of roses at its tip,<br>
and once I saw a ship, which had sailed straight<br>
<span class="tab">and swift upon the sea through all its voyage,<br>
<span class="tab">sinking at the end as it made its way to port.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://dante.princeton.edu/cgi-bin/dante/campuscgi/mpb/GetCantoSection.pl?INP_POEM=Par&INP_SECT=13&INP_START=130&INP_LEN=9&LANG=0">Hollander/Hollander</a> (2007)] </blockquote><br>

<blockquote>But ordinary people, too, must guard<br>
<span class="tab">Their judgment, not like those who count up ears<br>
<span class="tab">Of corn before the field is ripe. For I<br>
Have seen, all winter through, bushes of thorn<br>
<span class="tab">Covered with small but savage knives, hard<br>
<span class="tab">And fierce, but now comes summer, and they they're roses<br>
All over. And I have seen a ship sail far,<br>
<span class="tab">Straight and swift, and on course, but once in the harbor<br>
<span class="tab">Down she goes, sinking like a stone.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/The_Divine_Comedy/WZyBj-s9PfsC?hl=en&gbpv=1&bsq=%22but%20ordinary%20people%22">Raffel</a> (2010)] </blockquote><br>						</span>
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		<title>Shakespeare, William -- Macbeth, Act 1, sc. 3, l.  61ff (1.3.61-64) (1606)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/shakespeare-william/70923/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Jul 2024 15:14:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Shakespeare, William]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[BANQUO: If you can look into the seeds of time And say which grain will grow and which will not, Speak, then, to me, who neither beg nor fear Your favors nor your hate. To the Witches (Weïrd Sisters).]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="hangingindent">BANQUO: If you can look into the seeds of time<br />
And say which grain will grow and which will not,<br />
Speak, then, to me, who neither beg nor fear<br />
Your favors nor your hate.</p>
<p></p>
<br><b>William Shakespeare</b> (1564–1616) English dramatist and poet<br><i>Macbeth</i>, Act 1, sc. 3, l.  61ff (1.3.61-64) (1606) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.folger.edu/explore/shakespeares-works/macbeth/read/#:~:text=If%C2%A0you%C2%A0can%C2%A0look%C2%A0into%C2%A0the%C2%A0seeds%C2%A0of%C2%A0time%0A%C2%A0And%C2%A0say%C2%A0which%C2%A0grain%C2%A0will%C2%A0grow%C2%A0and%C2%A0which%C2%A0will%C2%A0not%2C%0A%C2%A0Speak%2C%C2%A0then%2C%C2%A0to%C2%A0me%2C%C2%A0who%C2%A0neither%C2%A0beg%C2%A0nor%C2%A0fear%0A%C2%A0Your%C2%A0favors%C2%A0nor%C2%A0your%C2%A0hate." target="_blank">Source</a>)
										<br><br><span class="cite">
						

To the Witches (Weïrd Sisters).						</span>
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		<title>Kettering, Charles F. -- &#8220;250 at Luncheon Honor Kettering,&#8221; New York Times (1936-11-11)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/kettering-charles/67577/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/kettering-charles/67577/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Mar 2024 16:24:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Kettering, Charles F.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[accomplishment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[action]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[byproduct]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[effort]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[When we look forward and try to project what may come out of a development, we are always wrong, because the by-products sometimes become far more important than the primary thing you started out to accomplish. Nevertheless, unintelligent motion is a great deal more important in research than intelligent standing still.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When we look forward and try to project what may come out of a development, we are always wrong, because the by-products sometimes become far more important than the primary thing you started out to accomplish. Nevertheless, unintelligent motion is a great deal more important in research than intelligent standing still.</p>
<br><b>Charles F. Kettering</b> (1876–1958) American inventor, engineer, researcher, businessman<br>&#8220;250 at Luncheon Honor Kettering,&#8221; <i>New York Times</i> (1936-11-11) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1936/11/11/88083896.html?pageNumber=45" target="_blank">Source</a>)
				]]></content:encoded>
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Rogers, Will -- Column (1923-07-22), &#8220;Weekly Article: Rogers Praises Spirit of Tulsa&#8221; [No. 32]</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/rogers-will/62358/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/rogers-will/62358/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Aug 2023 16:29:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rogers, Will]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[arms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[human nature]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[I am only an ignorant cowpuncher, but there ain&#8217;t nobody on earth, I don&#8217;t care how smart they are, ever going to make me believe they will ever stop wars.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am only an ignorant cowpuncher, but there ain&#8217;t nobody on earth, I don&#8217;t care how smart they are, ever going to make me believe they will ever stop wars.</p>
<br><b>Will Rogers</b> (1879–1935) American humorist<br>Column (1923-07-22), &#8220;Weekly Article: Rogers Praises Spirit of Tulsa&#8221; [No. 32] 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/Will_Rogers_Weekly_Articles_The_Harding/oT1bAAAAMAAJ?gbpv=1&bsq=%22ever%20stop%20wars%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
				]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Rogers, Will -- Radio broadcast (1935-05-26)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/rogers-will/62114/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/rogers-will/62114/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Jul 2023 16:08:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rogers, Will]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[An economist is a man that can tell you anything about &#8212; he&#8217;ll tell you what can happen under any given conditions, and his guess is liable to be just as good as anybody else&#8217;s, too.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An economist is a man that can tell you anything about &#8212; he&#8217;ll tell you what can happen under any given conditions, and his guess is liable to be just as good as anybody else&#8217;s, too.</p>
<br><b>Will Rogers</b> (1879–1935) American humorist<br>Radio broadcast (1935-05-26) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/willrogerssaysfo00roge/page/27/mode/2up?q=%22given+conditions%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
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		<title>Gates, Bill -- The Road Ahead, &#8220;Afterword&#8221; (1996 ed.)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/gates-bill/58619/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/gates-bill/58619/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Jan 2023 22:16:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gates, Bill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[long-term]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[overestimation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[short-term]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[velocity]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[People often overestimate what will happen in the next two years and underestimate what will happen in ten. First use of this specific formulation, but similar phrases can be traced back to the 1960s. More discussion of variations on this theme: People Tend To Overestimate What Can Be Done In One Year And To Underestimate [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>People often overestimate what will happen in the next two years and underestimate what will happen in ten.</p>
<br><b>Bill Gates</b> (b. 1955) American software magnate [William Henry Gates III]<br><i>The Road Ahead</i>, &#8220;Afterword&#8221; (1996 ed.) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/roadahead0000gate/page/316/mode/2up?q=%22often+overestimate%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
										<br><br><span class="cite">
						

First use of this specific formulation, but similar phrases can be traced back to the 1960s. More discussion of variations on this theme: <a href="https://quoteinvestigator.com/2019/01/03/estimate/">People Tend To Overestimate What Can Be Done In One Year And To Underestimate What Can Be Done In Five Or Ten Years – Quote Investigator®</a>.						</span>
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		<title>Lamott, Anne -- Crooked Little Heart, ch. 4 (1997)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/lamott-anne/57558/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/lamott-anne/57558/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2022 15:46:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Lamott, Anne]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[anger]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Expectations are resentments waiting to happen.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Expectations are resentments waiting to happen.</p>
<br><b>Anne Lamott</b> (b. 1954) American novelist and non-fiction writer<br><i>Crooked Little Heart</i>, ch. 4 (1997) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/Crooked_Little_Heart/MHbiJdBTH5kC?hl=en&gbpv=1&bsq=%22resentments%20waiting%20to%20happen%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
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		<title>Gladwell, Malcolm -- &#8220;Dangerous Minds: Criminal Profiling Made Easy,&#8221; The New Yorker (12 Nov 2007)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/gladwell-malcolm/57216/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/gladwell-malcolm/57216/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Nov 2022 18:01:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gladwell, Malcolm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[confirmation bias]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[If you make a great number of predictions, the ones that were wrong will soon be forgotten, and the ones that turn out to be true will make you famous.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you make a great number of predictions, the ones that were wrong will soon be forgotten, and the ones that turn out to be true will make you famous.</p>
<br><b>Malcolm Gladwell</b> (b. 1963) Anglo-Canadian journalist, author, public speaker<br>&#8220;Dangerous Minds: Criminal Profiling Made Easy,&#8221; <i>The New Yorker</i> (12 Nov 2007) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2007/11/12/dangerous-minds#:~:text=if%20you%20make%20a%20great%20number%20of%20predictions%2C%20the%20ones%20that%20were%20wrong%20will%20soon%20be%20forgotten%2C%20and%20the%20ones%20that%20turn%20out%20to%20be%20true%20will%20make%20you%20famous." target="_blank">Source</a>)
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		<title>Goldman, William -- Adventures in the Screen Trade, ch. 1 (1983)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/goldman-william/47083/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/goldman-william/47083/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 May 2021 14:44:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Goldman, William]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[failure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ignorance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[movies]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[NOBODY KNOWS ANYTHING. Not one person in the entire motion picture field knows for a certainty what&#8217;s going to work. Every time out it&#8217;s a guess &#8212; and, if you&#8217;re lucky, an educated one.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>NOBODY KNOWS ANYTHING. Not one person in the entire motion picture field <i>knows</i> for a certainty what&#8217;s going to work. Every time out it&#8217;s a guess &#8212; and, if you&#8217;re lucky, an educated one.</p>
<br><b>William Goldman</b> (1931–2018) American screenwriter, novelist<br><i>Adventures in the Screen Trade</i>, ch. 1 (1983) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/Adventures_in_the_Screen_Trade/qdNXo2952boC?hl=en&gbpv=1&dq=%22adventures%20in%20the%20screen%20trade%22&pg=PT32&printsec=frontcover&bsq=%22not%20one%20person%20in%20the%20entire%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
				]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Rejali, Darius -- In Jane Mayer, &#8220;Torture and the Truth,&#8221; New Yorker (14 Dec 2014)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/rejali-darius/46834/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/rejali-darius/46834/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 May 2021 20:21:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rejali, Darius]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[behavior]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[disincentive]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[get away with]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impunity]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Nothing predicts future behavior as much as past impunity.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nothing predicts future behavior as much as past impunity.</p>
<br><b>Darius Rejali</b> (b. c. 1959) Iranian-American academic, political scientist<br>In Jane Mayer, &#8220;Torture and the Truth,&#8221; <i>New Yorker</i> (14 Dec 2014) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2014/12/22/torture-truth#675ebcdd-b6c2-a273-7163-298c28c3841c:~:text=Nothing%20predicts%20future%20behavior%20as%20much%20as%20past%20impunity.%E2%80%9D" target="_blank">Source</a>)
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		<title>Snicket, Lemony -- The End (2006)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/snicket-lemony/46489/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/snicket-lemony/46489/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Apr 2021 15:26:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Snicket, Lemony]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drop out]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Perhaps if we saw what was ahead of us, and glimpsed the crimes, follies, and misfortunes that would befall us later on, we would all stay in our mother&#8217;s wombs, and there would be nobody in the world but a great number of very fat, very irritated women.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Perhaps if we saw what was ahead of us, and glimpsed the crimes, follies, and misfortunes that would befall us later on, we would all stay in our mother&#8217;s wombs, and there would be nobody in the world but a great number of very fat, very irritated women.</p>
<br><b>Lemony Snicket</b> (b. 1970) American author, screenwriter, musician (pseud. for Daniel Handler)<br><i>The End</i> (2006) 
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		<title>Orde-Lees, Thomas -- Diary, aboard HMS Endurance (1915-01-10)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/orde-lees-thomas/43675/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/orde-lees-thomas/43675/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Oct 2020 23:12:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Orde-Lees, Thomas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cell phone]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[I do so wish sometimes, that I could just pop home for an hour or two as easily in the flesh as in the spirit. No doubt the explorers of 2015, if there is anything left to explore, will not only carry their pocket wireless telephones fitted with wireless telescopes but will also receive their [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I do so wish sometimes, that I could just pop home for an hour or two as easily in the flesh as in the spirit. No doubt the explorers of 2015, if there is anything left to explore, will not only carry their pocket wireless telephones fitted with wireless telescopes but will also receive their nourishment and warmth by wireless means &#038; also their power to drive their motor sledges, but, of course, there will be an aerial daily excursion to both Poles then &#038; it will be the bottom of the Atlantic, if not the centre of the earth, that will form the goal in those days.</p>
<br><b>Thomas Orde-Lees</b> (1877–1948) British naval officer, arctic explorer, mountaineer, writer<br>Diary, aboard HMS <i>Endurance</i> (1915-01-10) 
														<br><br><span class="cite">
						

Written while the ship was trapped in the ice during Ernest Shackleton's ill-fated Imperial Trans-Antarctic Expedition. Some versions of the quotation refer to "2012," rather than 2015.<br><br>

While the reference to "pocket wireless telephones" makes this quotation suspect, Orde-Lees has extensive diary material published, and this appears to be <a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/Elephant_Island_and_Beyond/0bgPAQAAIAAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&bsq=telephones">genuine</a>.						</span>
					]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Menen, Aubrey -- The Ramayana (1954)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/menen-aubrey/43141/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/menen-aubrey/43141/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Sep 2020 19:00:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Menen, Aubrey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[After titanic studies he was satisfied that a thorough knowledge of the past could lead a profound scholar to predict the future course of history with greater accuracy, provided that it did not turn out quite differently.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After titanic studies he was satisfied that a thorough knowledge of the past could lead a profound scholar to predict the future course of history with greater accuracy, provided that it did not turn out quite differently.</p>
<br><b>Aubrey Menen</b> (1912–1989) British writer, novelist, satirist, theatre critic<br><i>The Ramayana</i> (1954) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/The_Ramayana_as_Told_by_Aubrey_Menen/BhJ7vJ8wzpEC?hl=en&gbpv=1&bsq=%22profound%20scholar%20to%20predict%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
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		<title>Ciardi, John -- (Attributed)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/ciardi-john/42060/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2020 22:04:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ciardi, John]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extrapolation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[genius]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[recognition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[understanding]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Intelligence recognizes what has happened. Genius recognizes what will happen.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Intelligence recognizes what has happened. Genius recognizes what will happen.</p>
<br><b>John Ciardi</b> (1916–1986) American poet, writer, critic<br>(Attributed) 
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		<title>Thurber, James -- &#8220;Ivory, Apes, and People,&#8221; Further Fables for Our Time (1956)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/thurber-james/41477/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2020 19:45:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Men of all degrees should form this prudent habit: Never serve a rabbit stew before you catch the rabbit.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Men of all degrees should form this prudent habit:<br />
Never serve a rabbit stew before you catch the rabbit.</p>
<br><b>James Thurber</b> (1894–1961) American humorist, cartoonist, writer<br>&#8220;Ivory, Apes, and People,&#8221; <i>Further Fables for Our Time</i> (1956) 
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		<title>Machiavelli, Niccolo -- The Discourses on Livy, Book 3, ch. 43 (1517) [tr. Gilbert (1958)]</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/machiavelli-niccolo/40289/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Jan 2020 18:16:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Machiavelli, Niccolo]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Prudent men are in the habit of saying &#8212; and not by chance or without basis &#8212; that he who wishes to see what is to come should observe what has already happened, because all the affairs of the world, in every age, have their individual counterparts in ancient times. The reason for this is [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Prudent men are in the habit of saying &#8212; and not by chance or without basis &#8212; that he who wishes to see what is to come should observe what has already happened, because all the affairs of the world, in every age, have their individual counterparts in ancient times. The reason for this is that since they are carried on by men, who have and always have had the same passions, of necessity the same results appear.</p>
<br><b>Niccolò Machiavelli</b> (1469–1527) Italian politician, philosopher, political scientist<br><i>The Discourses on Livy</i>, Book 3, ch. 43 (1517) [tr. Gilbert (1958)] 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/Machiavelli/r6lROQffJ7cC?hl=en&gbpv=1&dq=%22individual%20counterparts%20in%20ancient%20times%22&pg=PA521&printsec=frontcover&bsq=%22individual%20counterparts%20in%20ancient%20times%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
										<br><br><span class="cite">
						

Other translations: "The wise are wont to say, and not without reason or at random, that he who would forecast what is about to happen should look to what has been; since all human events, whether present or to come, have their exact counterpart in the past. And this, because these events are brought about by men, whose passions and dispositions remaining in all ages the same naturally give rise to the same effects." [tr. <a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/Discourses_on_Livy/MIZjDwAAQBAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&bsq=%22exact%20counterpart%22&pg=PT474&printsec=frontcover">Thomson</a>]

						</span>
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		<title>Toffler, Alvin -- (Attributed)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/toffler-alvin/40281/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/toffler-alvin/40281/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Jan 2020 22:48:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[The future always arrives too fast &#8212; and in the wrong order.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The future always arrives too fast &#8212; and in the wrong order.</p>
<br><b>Alvin Toffler</b> (1928–2016) American writer and futurist<br>(Attributed) 
								]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Martial -- Epigrams [Epigrammata], Book  1, epigram  15 (1.15.11-12) (AD 85-86) [tr. Bohn&#8217;s (1859)]</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/martial/37739/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Aug 2017 01:44:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Martial]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[&#8216;Tis not, believe me, a wise man&#8217;s part to say, &#8220;I will live.&#8221; Tomorrow&#8217;s life is too late: live today. [Non est, crede mihi, sapientis dicere &#8220;Vivam&#8221;: Sera nimis vita est crastina: vive hodie.] A sentiment echoed in 5.58. (Source (Latin)). Other translations: Trust me, it is not wise to say, I&#8217;ll live; &#8217;twill be [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8216;Tis not, believe me, a wise man&#8217;s part to say, &#8220;I will live.&#8221; Tomorrow&#8217;s life is too late: live today.</p>
<p><em>[Non est, crede mihi, sapientis dicere &#8220;Vivam&#8221;:<br />
Sera nimis vita est crastina: vive hodie.]</em></p>
<br><b>Martial</b> (AD c.39-c.103) Spanish Roman poet, satirist, epigrammatist [Marcus Valerius Martialis]<br><i>Epigrams [Epigrammata]</i>, Book  1, epigram  15 (1.15.11-12) (AD 85-86) [tr. Bohn&#8217;s (1859)] 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.tertullian.org/fathers/martial_epigrams_book01.htm#:~:text=%27Tis%20not%2C%20believe%20me%2C%20a%20wise%20man%27s%20part%20to%20say%2C%20%22I%20will%20live.%22%20To-morrow%27s%20life%20is%20too%20late%3A%20live%20to-day." target="_blank">Source</a>)
										<br><br><span class="cite">
						

A sentiment echoed in <a href="https://wist.info/martial/48378/">5.58</a>. (<a href="http://www.perseus.tufts.edu/hopper/morph?l=crede&la=la&can=crede0&prior=est">Source (Latin)</a>). Other translations:<br><br>

<blockquote>Trust me, it is not wise to say,<br>
I'll live; 'twill be too late tomorrow,<br>
Live if thou'rt wise today.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/The_arts_of_logick_and_rhetorick_adapted/dvQIAAAAQAAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&dq=martial%20%22Twill%20be%20too%20late%20to-morrow%22&pg=PA219&printsec=frontcover&bsq=martial%20%22Twill%20be%20too%20late%20to-morrow%22">Oldmixon</a> (1728)]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>"I'll live tomorrow," will a wise man say? <br>
Tomorrow is too late, then live today.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/The_Epigrams_of_Martial/LzXgAAAAMAAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&bsq=tomorrow&pg=PA32&printsec=frontcover">Hay</a> (1755), quoted in Bohn's, but not in Hay's own book]</blockquote><br>

<blockquote>Tomorrow I shall live, the fool will say. [...]<br>
Wouldst thou be sure of living? Live today.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/The_Epigrams_of_M_Val_Martial/vksOAAAAQAAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&pg=PA78&printsec=frontcover&bsq=%22sure%20of%20living%22">Elphinston</a> (1782), Book 2, ep. 45]</blockquote><br>



<blockquote>No wisdom 'tis to say "I'll soon begin to live."<br>
'Tis late to live tomorrow; live today.<br>
[ed. <a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/Dictionary_of_Quotations_classical/2rSZy0yVFm8C?hl=en&gbpv=1&bsq=%22begin%20to%20live%22">Harbottle</a> (1897)]</blockquote><br>



<blockquote>It sorts not, believe me, with wisdom to say "I shall live." <br>
Too late is tomorrow's life; live thou today. <br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/Epigrams/w4ZfAAAAMAAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&bsq=%22i%20shall%20live%22&pg=PA39&printsec=frontcover">Ker</a> (1919)]</blockquote><br>



<blockquote>"I'll live tomorrow," no wise man will say;<br>
Tomorrow is too late. Then live today.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/Martial_s_Epigrams/g35fAAAAMAAJ?gbpv=1&bsq=%22no%20wise%20man%22">Francis & Tatum</a> (1924), #10] </blockquote><br>



<blockquote>To say, "I mean to live," is folly's place:<br>
Tomorrow's life comes late; live, then, today.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.gutenberg.org/files/44640/44640-h/44640-h.htm#:~:text=To%20say%2C%20%22I,then%2C%20to-day.">Duff</a> (1929)]</blockquote><br>



<blockquote>It's not a wise man's part to say<br>
"I'll live," Tomorrow's life is much to late.<br>
Live! Today.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://archive.org/details/epigramsofmartia0000mart_q2h6/page/44/mode/2up?q=%22part+to+say%22">Bovie</a> (1970)]</blockquote><br>



<blockquote>Believe me, the wise man does not say "1 shall live." Tomorrow's life is too late. Live today.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://dokumen.pub/martial-epigrams-spectacles-books-1-5-1-0674995554-9780674995550.html#:~:text=Believe%20me%2C%20the%20wise%20man%20does%20not%20say%20%221%20shall%20live.%22%20Tomorrow%27s%20life%20is%20too%20late.%20Live%20today.">Shackleton Bailey</a> (1993)]</blockquote><br>





<blockquote>No sage will e'er "I'll live tomorrow" say: <br>
Tomorrow is too late: live thou today.<br>
[tr. <a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/The_Epigrams_of_Martial/LzXgAAAAMAAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&bsq=tomorrow&pg=PA32&printsec=frontcover">WSB</a>]</blockquote><br>

						</span>
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		<title>Verne, Jules -- From the Earth to the Moon (1865)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/verne-jules/34757/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Aug 2016 03:32:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Verne, Jules]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[denial]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[How many things have been denied one day, only to become realities the next!]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How many things have been denied one day, only to become realities the next!</p>
<br><b>Jules Verne</b> (1828–1905) French novelist, poet, playwright <br><i>From the Earth to the Moon</i> (1865) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/From_the_Earth_to_the_Moon" target="_blank">Source</a>)
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		<title>Verne, Jules -- The Mysterious Island, Part 2, ch. 11 (1874)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/verne-jules/33554/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 06 May 2016 18:26:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Verne, Jules]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coal]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Yes, but water decomposed into its primitive elements &#8230; and decomposed doubtless, by electricity, which will then have become a powerful and manageable force, for all great discoveries, by some inexplicable law, appear to agree and become complete at the same time. Yes, my friends, I believe that water will one day be employed as [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, but water decomposed into its primitive elements &#8230; and decomposed doubtless, by electricity, which will then have become a powerful and manageable force, for all great discoveries, by some inexplicable law, appear to agree and become complete at the same time. Yes, my friends, I believe that water will one day be employed as fuel, that hydrogen and oxygen which constitute it, used singly or together, will furnish an inexhaustible source of heat and light, of an intensity of which coal is not capable. Some day the coalrooms of steamers and the tenders of locomotives will, instead of coal, be stored with these two condensed gases, which will burn in the furnaces with enormous calorific power. There is, therefore, nothing to fear. As long as the earth is inhabited it will supply the wants of its inhabitants, and there will be no want of either light or heat as long as the productions of the vegetable, mineral or animal kingdoms do not fail us. I believe, then, that when the deposits of coal are exhausted we shall heat and warm ourselves with water. Water will be the coal of the future!</p>
<br><b>Jules Verne</b> (1828–1905) French novelist, poet, playwright <br><i>The Mysterious Island</i>, Part 2, ch. 11 (1874) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/The_Mysterious_Island" target="_blank">Source</a>)
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		<title>Adams, Douglas -- The Salmon of Doubt, Part 3 &#8220;And Everything,&#8221; &#8220;The Salmon of Doubt,&#8221; ch.  5 (2002) [ed. Peter Guzzardi]</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/adams-douglas/29761/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2015 15:19:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Solutions nearly always come from the direction you least expect, which means there’s no point trying to look in that direction because it won’t be coming from there. Noted as an observation Dirk Gently &#8220;mentioned a lot to people.&#8221;]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Solutions nearly always come from the direction you least expect, which means there’s no point trying to look in that direction because it won’t be coming from there.</p>
<p><a href="https://wist.info/wp/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/adams-solutions-nearly-always-come-from-the-direction-you-least-expect-wist-info-quote.png"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" src="https://wist.info/wp/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/adams-solutions-nearly-always-come-from-the-direction-you-least-expect-wist-info-quote.png" alt="adams - solutions nearly always come from the direction you least expect ... - wist.info quote" width="800" height="450" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-79564" srcset="https://wist.info/wp/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/adams-solutions-nearly-always-come-from-the-direction-you-least-expect-wist-info-quote.png 800w, https://wist.info/wp/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/adams-solutions-nearly-always-come-from-the-direction-you-least-expect-wist-info-quote-300x169.png 300w, https://wist.info/wp/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/adams-solutions-nearly-always-come-from-the-direction-you-least-expect-wist-info-quote-768x432.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px" /></a></p>
<br><b>Douglas Adams</b> (1952–2001) English author, humorist, screenwriter<br><i>The Salmon of Doubt</i>, Part 3 &#8220;And Everything,&#8221; &#8220;The Salmon of Doubt,&#8221; ch.  5 (2002) [ed. Peter Guzzardi] 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/salmonofdoubthit0000adam_s5i4/page/242/mode/2up?q=%22solutions+nearly%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
										<br><br><span class="cite">
						

Noted as an observation Dirk Gently "mentioned a lot to people."


						</span>
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		<title>Lincoln, Abraham -- Speech (1839-12-26), “The Sub-Treasury,” Illinois House of Representatives, Springfield</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/lincoln-abraham/29123/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2015 14:32:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[We know nothing of what will happen in future, but by the analogy of experience.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We know nothing of what will happen in future, but by the analogy of experience.</p>
<br><b>Abraham Lincoln</b> (1809–1865) American lawyer, politician, US President (1861–65)<br>Speech (1839-12-26), “The Sub-Treasury,” Illinois House of Representatives, Springfield 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://quod.lib.umich.edu/l/lincoln/lincoln1/1:193.1?rgn=div2;sort=occur;subview=detail;type=simple;view=fulltext;q1=we+may+fall+in+the+struggle#:~:text=we%20know%20nothing%20of%20what%20will%20happen%20in%20future%2C%20but%20by%20the%20analogy%20of%20experience" target="_blank">Source</a>)
				]]></content:encoded>
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Stein, Herb -- (Attributed)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/stein-herb/28807/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/stein-herb/28807/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Mar 2015 12:39:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stein, Herb]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Economists are very good at saying that something cannot go on forever, but not so good at saying when it will stop.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Economists are very good at saying that something cannot go on forever, but not so good at saying when it will stop.</p>
<br><b>Herb Stein</b> (1916–1999) American economist<br>(Attributed) 
								]]></content:encoded>
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Galbraith, John Kenneth -- (Attributed)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/galbraith-john-kenneth/28587/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/galbraith-john-kenneth/28587/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Mar 2015 15:19:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Galbraith, John Kenneth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economist]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[We have two classes of forecasters: those who don&#8217;t know and those who know they don&#8217;t know. Variants: There are two classes of people who tell what is going to happen in the future: Those who don&#8217;t know, and those who don&#8217;t know they don&#8217;t know. You can divide the world into those who don&#8217;t [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We have two classes of forecasters: those who don&#8217;t know and those who know they don&#8217;t know.</p>
<br><b>John Kenneth Galbraith</b> (1908–2006) Canadian-American economist, diplomat, author<br>(Attributed) 
														<br><br><span class="cite">
						

Variants:
<ul>
	<li>There are two classes of people who tell what is going to happen in the future: Those who don't know, and those who don't know they don't know.</li>
	<li>You can divide the world into those who don't know and those who don't know they don't know.</li>
	<li>There are those who don't know, and there are those who don't know they don't know.</li>
	<li>We have two kinds of forecasters: Those who don't know ... and those who don't know they don't know.</li>
	<li>There are two kinds of economists: those who don't know the future, and those who don't know they don't know.</li>
</ul>						</span>
					]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Brooks, Thomas -- The Hypocrite Detected, Anatomized (1650)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/brooks-thomas/27858/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/brooks-thomas/27858/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 2014 18:26:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Brooks, Thomas]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[You have no lease of your lives, and death is not bound to give you warning before it gives you that deadly blow that will send you to everlasting misery or everlasting felicity.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You have no lease of your lives, and death is not bound to give you warning before it gives you that deadly blow that will send you to everlasting misery or everlasting felicity.</p>
<br><b>Thomas Brooks</b> (1608–1680) English Puritan divine, writer<br><i>The Hypocrite Detected, Anatomized</i> (1650) 
								]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Haldane, J.B.S. -- &#8220;Daedalus, or Science and the Future,&#8221; speech, Cambridge (24 Feb 1923)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/haldane-jbs/27671/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/haldane-jbs/27671/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Dec 2014 14:22:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Haldane, J.B.S.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[challenges]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Science is as yet in its infancy, and we can foretell little of the future save that the thing that has not been is the thing that shall be; that no beliefs, no values, no institutions are safe. So far from being an isolated phenomenon the late war is only an example of the disruptive [&#8230;]]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) then (Source) and then put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Science is as yet in its infancy, and we can foretell little of the future save that the thing that has not been is the thing that shall be; that no beliefs, no values, no institutions are safe. So far from being an isolated phenomenon the late war is only an example of the disruptive result that we may constantly expect from the progress of science. The future will be no primrose path. It will have its own problems. Some will be the secular problems of the past, giant flowers of evil blossoming at last to their own destruction. Others will be wholly new. Whether in the end man will survive his ascensions of power we cannot tell. But the problem is no new one. It is the old paradox of freedom re-enacted with mankind for actor and the earth for stage.</p>
<br><b>J.B.S. Haldane</b> (1892–1964) English geneticist [John Burden Sanderson Haldane]<br>&#8220;Daedalus, or Science and the Future,&#8221; speech, Cambridge (24 Feb 1923) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="http://vserver1.cscs.lsa.umich.edu/~crshalizi/Daedalus.html" target="_blank">Source</a>)
				]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Ford, Henry -- (Attributed)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/ford-henry/21908/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/ford-henry/21908/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Jul 2013 17:20:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ford, Henry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[commitment]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[You can&#8217;t build a reputation on what you are going to do.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You can&#8217;t build a reputation on what you are going to do.</p>
<br><b>Henry Ford</b> (1863–1947) American industrialist<br>(Attributed) 
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		<title>Orwell, George -- Essay (1946-05), &#8220;Second Thoughts on James Burnham,&#8221; Polemic Magazine</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/orwell-george/19106/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/orwell-george/19106/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Sep 2012 12:08:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Orwell, George]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[change]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wist.info/?p=19106</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Power worship blurs political judgement because it leads, almost unavoidably, to the belief that present trends will continue. Whoever is winning at the moment will always seem to be invincible. [&#8230;] This habit of mind leads also to the belief that things will happen more quickly, completely, and catastrophically than they ever do in practice. [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Power worship blurs political judgement because it leads, almost unavoidably, to the belief that present trends will continue. Whoever is winning at the moment will always seem to be invincible. [&#8230;] This habit of mind leads also to the belief that things will happen more quickly, completely, and catastrophically than they ever do in practice. The rise and fall of empires, the disappearance of cultures and religions, are expected to happen with earthquake suddenness, and processes which have barely started are talked about as though they were already at an end.</p>
<br><b>George Orwell</b> (1903–1950) English journalist, essayist, writer [pseud. of Eric Arthur Blair]<br>Essay (1946-05), &#8220;Second Thoughts on James Burnham,&#8221; <i>Polemic</i> Magazine 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.orwellfoundation.com/the-orwell-foundation/orwell/essays-and-other-works/second-thoughts-on-james-burnham/#:~:text=Power%20worship%20blurs,at%20an%20end." target="_blank">Source</a>)
										<br><br><span class="cite">
						

Published separately as a pamphlet, <i>James Burnham and the Managerial Revolution</i> (1946). 
						</span>
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		<title>Hubbard, Elbert -- The Roycroft Dictionary (1914)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/hubbard-elbert-green/17749/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/hubbard-elbert-green/17749/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Apr 2012 12:55:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Hubbard, Elbert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forecast]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Forecast: To observe that which has passed, and guess it will happen again; to anticipate the future by guessing at the past; to predict that an event will happen, if it does, by basing calculations on events that have already happened, if they did.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Forecast: To observe that which has passed, and guess it will happen again; to anticipate the future by guessing at the past; to predict that an event will happen, if it does, by basing calculations on events that have already happened, if they did.</p>
<br><b>Elbert Hubbard</b> (1856–1915) American writer, businessman, philosopher<br><i>The Roycroft Dictionary</i> (1914) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="http://www.online-literature.com/elbert-hubbard/roycroft-dictionary/6/#chaptext:~:text=Forecast%3A%20To%20observe%20that%20which%20has,have%20already%20happened%2C%20if%20they%20did." target="_blank">Source</a>)
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Tolkien, J.R.R. -- The Lord of the Rings, Vol. 2: The Two Towers, Book 4, ch.  1 &#8220;The Taming of Sméagol&#8221; (1954)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/tolkien-jrr/15251/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/tolkien-jrr/15251/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jul 2011 12:26:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Tolkien, J.R.R.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capital punishment]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wist.info/?p=15251</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Deserves death! I daresay he does. Many that live deserve death. And some die that deserve life. Can you give that to them? Then be not too eager to deal out death in the name of justice, fearing for your own safety. Even the wise cannot see all ends. Frodo recalling the words of Gandalf [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Deserves death! I daresay he does. Many that live deserve death. And some die that deserve life. Can you give that to them? Then be not too eager to deal out death in the name of justice, fearing for your own safety. Even the wise cannot see all ends.</p>
<br><b>J.R.R. Tolkien</b> (1892–1973) English writer, fabulist, philologist, academic [John Ronald Reuel Tolkien]<br><i>The Lord of the Rings, Vol. 2: The Two Towers</i>, Book 4, ch.  1 &#8220;The Taming of Sméagol&#8221; (1954) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/lordofrings0000tolk_x6j5/page/802/mode/2up?q=daresay" target="_blank">Source</a>)
										<br><br><span class="cite">
						

Frodo recalling <a href="https://wist.info/tolkien-jrr/3882/">the words of Gandalf (approximately)</a> in <em>The Fellowship of the Ring.</em>						</span>
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		<title>Von Moltke, Helmuth -- &#8220;On Strategy&#8221; (1871)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/von-moltke-helmuth/9434/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/von-moltke-helmuth/9434/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Jan 2010 14:35:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Von Moltke, Helmuth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[battle]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The tactical result of an engagement forms the base for new strategic decisions because victory or defeat in a battle changes the situation to such a degree that no human acumen is able to see beyond the first battle. In this sense one should understand Napoleon&#8217;s saying: &#8220;I have never had a plan of operations.&#8221; [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The tactical result of an engagement forms the base for new strategic decisions because victory or defeat in a battle changes the situation to such a degree that no human acumen is able to see beyond the first battle. In this sense one should understand Napoleon&#8217;s saying: &#8220;I have never had a plan of operations.&#8221; Therefore no plan of operations extends with any certainty beyond the first contact with the main hostile force.</p>
<br><b>Helmuth von Moltke</b> (1800–1891) Prussian soldier<br>&#8220;On Strategy&#8221; (1871) 
														<br><br><span class="cite">
						Translated in Daniel J. Hughes, Harry Bell, <em>Moltke on the Art of War: Selected Writings</em> (1993).<br><br>

Paraphrases / variants:<ul>
<li>"No plan survives contact with the enemy."</li> 
<li>"No battle plan ever survives contact with the enemy." </li> 
</ul>						</span>
					]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Stewart, Jon -- Interview, Philadelphia Inquirer (2007-04-22)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/stewart-jon/8387/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/stewart-jon/8387/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Aug 2009 14:30:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stewart, Jon]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[I have complete faith in the continued absurdity of whatever’s going on.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have complete faith in the continued absurdity of whatever’s going on.</p>
<br><b>Jon Stewart</b> (b. 1962) American satirist, comedian, and television host. [b. Jonathan Stuart Leibowitz]<br>Interview, <i>Philadelphia Inquirer</i> (2007-04-22) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="http://www.nofactzone.net/?p=1384" target="_blank">Source</a>)
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		<title>Keynes, John Maynard -- A Tract on Monetary Reform, ch. 3 (1923)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/keynes-john-maynard/5341/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2007 14:36:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Keynes, John Maynard]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[But this long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run we are all dead. Economists set themselves too easy, too useless a task, if in tempestuous seasons they can only tell us, that when the storm is long past, the ocean is flat again.]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>But this <em>long run </em>is a misleading guide to current affairs. <em>In the long run</em> we are all dead. Economists set themselves too easy, too useless a task, if in tempestuous seasons they can only tell us, that when the storm is long past, the ocean is flat again.</p>
<br><b>John Maynard Keynes</b> (1883–1946) English economist<br><i>A Tract on Monetary Reform</i>, ch. 3 (1923) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://www.google.com/books/edition/A_Tract_on_Monetary_Reform/8HsuAAAAYAAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&dq=keynes%20%22tract%20on%20monetary%20reform%22&pg=PP19&printsec=frontcover&bsq=%22all%20dead%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
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		<title>Carlyle, Thomas -- Essay (1829-06), &#8220;Signs of the Times,&#8221; Edinburgh Review, Vol. 49, No. 98, Art. 7</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/carlyle-thomas/731/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/carlyle-thomas/731/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Feb 2004 16:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Our grand business undoubtedly is, not to see what lies dimly at a distance, but to do what lies clearly at hand. Review of three 1829 books: Anticipation; or, an Hundred Years Hence; The Rise, Progress, and Present State of Public Opinion in Great Britain; Edward Irvine, The Last Days; or, Discourses on These Our [&#8230;]]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) then (Source) and then put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Our grand business undoubtedly is, not to <i>see</i> what lies dimly at a distance, but to <i>do</i> what lies clearly at hand.</p>
<br><b>Thomas Carlyle</b> (1795–1881) Scottish essayist and historian<br>Essay (1829-06), &#8220;Signs of the Times,&#8221; <i>Edinburgh Review</i>, Vol. 49, No. 98, Art. 7 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/sim_edinburgh-review-critical-journal_1829-06_49_98/page/438/mode/2up?q=%22grand+business%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
										<br><br><span class="cite">
						

Review of three 1829 books: <i>Anticipation; or, an Hundred Years Hence</i>; <i>The Rise, Progress, and Present State of Public Opinion in Great Britain</i>; Edward Irvine, <i>The Last Days; or, Discourses on These Our Times.</i>


						</span>
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Tolkien, J.R.R. -- The Lord of the Rings, Vol. 1: The Fellowship of the Ring, Book 1, ch.  2 &#8220;The Shadow of the Past&#8221; [Gandalf] (1954)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/tolkien-jrr/3882/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/tolkien-jrr/3882/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Feb 2004 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Deserves it! I daresay he does. Many that live deserve death. And some that die deserve life. Can you give it to them? then do not be too eager to deal out death in judgment. For even the very wise cannot see all ends. Frodo later recounts these words (approximately) to Sam in The Two [&#8230;]]]></description>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Deserves it! I daresay he does. Many that live deserve death. And some that die deserve life. Can you give it to them? then do not be too eager to deal out death in judgment. For even the very wise cannot see all ends.</p>
<br><b>J.R.R. Tolkien</b> (1892–1973) English writer, fabulist, philologist, academic [John Ronald Reuel Tolkien]<br><i>The Lord of the Rings, Vol. 1: The Fellowship of the Ring</i>, Book 1, ch.  2 &#8220;The Shadow of the Past&#8221; [Gandalf] (1954) 
									<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(<a href="https://archive.org/details/fellowshipofring0001tolk/page/58/mode/2up?q=%22Many+that+live+deserve+death%22" target="_blank">Source</a>)
										<br><br><span class="cite">
						

Frodo later <a href="https://wist.info/tolkien-jrr/15251/">recounts these words (approximately)</a> to Sam in <em>The Two Towers</em>.						</span>
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                <!-- DCH Modify the title to give the category (quote author) at the beginning of it. -->
		<title>Peter, Lawrence J. -- (Attributed)</title>
		<link>https://wist.info/peter-lawrence-j/3127/</link>
		<comments>https://wist.info/peter-lawrence-j/3127/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Feb 2004 19:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Peter, Lawrence J.]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[An economist is an expert who will know tomorrow why the things he predicted yesterday didn&#8217;t happen today.]]></description>
        <!-- DCH Insert author info (category description) then (Source) and then put the extra info (MORE) below that. -->
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An economist is an expert who will know tomorrow why the things he predicted yesterday didn&#8217;t happen today.</p>
<br><b>Lawrence J. Peter</b> (1919–1990) American educator, management theorist<br>(Attributed) 
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